Tennis · W50 Knokke-Heist · 28/07, 12:00
Prediction: Maria Martinez Vaquero vs Sarah Van Emst
Team pages: Maria Martinez Vaquero · Sarah Van Emst
Prediction summary
Winner
Maria Martinez Vaquero
Sarah Van Emst
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Martinez Vaquero
6-4 (W-L)
Sarah Van Emst
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maria Martinez Vaquero 1495 · Sarah Van Emst 1527
| Maria Martinez Vaquero | Sarah Van Emst | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Maria Martinez Vaquero makes many double faults (5.3/match).
- Note: Sarah Van Emst makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Maria Martinez Vaquero | Sarah Van Emst | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-10.2 | 12.8-11.3 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 5.3 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 65.8% | 65.2% |
| Break % | 58.7% | 52.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maria Martinez Vaquero
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Lola Giza W50 Horb |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Valeria Savinykh W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 16/07 | Stephanie Judith Visscher W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/07 | Nahia Berecoechea W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/06 | Allura Zamarripa WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Shuo Feng WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 10/06 | Anastasia Kulikova W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Yeon Woo Ku W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/06 | Manon Leonard W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/06 | Valentina Losciale W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Sarah Van Emst
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Arantxa Rus W75 The Hague |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Eva Marie Voracek W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 30/06 | Lavinia Tanasie W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Camilla Zanolini W35 Ystad · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/05 | Nastasja Schunk W35 Klagenfurt · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 22/05 | Eva Marie Voracek W35 Klagenfurt · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 21/05 | Jasmijn Gimbrere W35 Klagenfurt · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/05 | Sina Herrmann W35 Klagenfurt · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 19/05 | Weronika Ewald W35 Klagenfurt · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/05 | Francesca Curmi W35 Bastad · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maria Martinez Vaquero vs Sarah Van Emst?
Our model gives 52% to Sarah Van Emst, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.