Tennis · M25 Gentofte · 29/07, 10:00
Prediction: Rafael Ymer vs Eero Vasa
Team pages: Rafael Ymer · Eero Vasa
Prediction summary
Winner
Rafael Ymer
Eero Vasa
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Rafael Ymer
7-3 (W-L)
Eero Vasa
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rafael Ymer 1526 · Eero Vasa 1495
| Rafael Ymer | Eero Vasa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Rafael Ymer makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Rafael Ymer | Eero Vasa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-9.9 | 11.7-12.1 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 64.7% | 69.5% |
| Break % | 56.6% | 33.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rafael Ymer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Henri Haupt M25 Gentofte |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/07 | Gabriel Maciel Araujo Pyndt M25 Gentofte |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Carles Hernandez M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 22/06 | Carles Rojas M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/06 | Jeffrey Hsu M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/06 | Vesa Ahti M15 Vaasa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/06 | Jack Karlsson Winstrand M15 Vaasa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/01 | Anthony Wright UTR Pro Chapel Hill · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/01 | Muyang Yi UTR Pro Chapel Hill · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 14/01 | Constantinos Djakouris UTR Pro Chapel Hill · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Eero Vasa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 09/07 | Sander Jong M25 The Hague |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Stan Put M25 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 03/07 | Sean Cuenin M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Amine Jamji M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 01/07 | Yassine Smiej M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 24/06 | Ognjen Milic Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 23/06 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 31/05 | Lukas Pokorny Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rafael Ymer vs Eero Vasa?
Our model gives 65% to Eero Vasa, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.