Tennis · M25 Gentofte · 29/07, 10:00
Prediction: Carl Emil Overbeck vs Lorenzo Balducci
Team pages: Carl Emil Overbeck · Lorenzo Balducci
Prediction summary
Winner
Carl Emil Overbeck
Lorenzo Balducci
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Carl Emil Overbeck
9-1 (W-L)
Lorenzo Balducci
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carl Emil Overbeck 1611 · Lorenzo Balducci 1527
| Carl Emil Overbeck | Lorenzo Balducci | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 87% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carl Emil Overbeck (rating 1611 vs 1527).
- Carl Emil Overbeck is in better form: 100% recent wins.
- Note: Lorenzo Balducci makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Carl Emil Overbeck | Lorenzo Balducci | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 100% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (5) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 2-0.4 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-7.2 | 11-9 |
| Aces | 5.2 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 5.1 |
| 1st serve % | 77.6% | 66.8% |
| Break % | 50.1% | 51.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carl Emil Overbeck
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Patrick Schoen M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 04/07 | Sebastian Dominko M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/07 | Tiago Cacao M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 02/07 | Rodrigo Leal M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Oskar Brostrom Poulsen M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 28/06 | Mert Alkaya M25 Porto |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/06 | Tiago Torres M25 Porto |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/06 | Daniil Ostapenkov M25 Porto |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 25/06 | Rodrigo Fernandes M25 Porto |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Mae Malige M25 Porto |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Lorenzo Balducci
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Ole Bredschneijder M25 Gentofte |
1-2 | 12-10 | L |
| 26/07 | Mads Bruhn Aaby M25 Gentofte |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Filiberto Fumagalli M15 Nova Gorica |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Imanol Lopez Morillo M15 Lodz |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Jeremy Gschwendtner M15 Lodz |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/07 | Antoni Kasperski M15 Lodz |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/07 | Jakub Solarski M15 Lodz |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Adan Freire Da Silva M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 29/06 | Sep De Visser M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 28/06 | Lucas Hammond M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carl Emil Overbeck vs Lorenzo Balducci?
Our model gives 75% to Carl Emil Overbeck, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.