Tennis · M25 Koszalin · 29/07, 10:00
Prediction: Jan Hrazdil vs Tiago Pereira
Team pages: Jan Hrazdil · Tiago Pereira
Prediction summary
Winner
Jan Hrazdil
Tiago Pereira
Estimated games
23.6
Recent form · 10 last
Jan Hrazdil
3-7 (W-L)
Tiago Pereira
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jan Hrazdil 1414 · Tiago Pereira 1509
| Jan Hrazdil | Tiago Pereira | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 10% | 90% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tiago Pereira (rating 1414 vs 1509).
- Tiago Pereira is in better form: 50% recent wins.
Statistics
| Jan Hrazdil | Tiago Pereira | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 25% (8) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.7 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-12.1 | 13.5-12.6 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 63.8% | 69.3% |
| Break % | 29.9% | 48% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jan Hrazdil
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Tomas Lanik M25 Ollersbach |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Matteo Fondriest M15 Nova Gorica |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 23/06 | Niklas Guttau M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Tudor Batin M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Rudolf Molleker M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 08/06 | Martin Doskocil M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/06 | Piotr Galus M15 Szentendre · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Luca Staeheli M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Johan Oscar Lien M15 Klagenfurt · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 18/05 | Cosimo Banti M15 Klagenfurt · ~Clay |
2-1 | 11-8 | W |
Tiago Pereira
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Gonzalo Bueno ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 18/07 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 17/07 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/07 | Yi Zhou Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 13/07 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 02/07 | Patrick Schoen M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 01/07 | Filippo Moroni M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 7-1 | W |
| 25/06 | Daniil Ostapenkov M25 Porto |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Vasco L Prata M25 Porto |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 13/06 | Tom Gentzsch ATP Halle · Grass |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jan Hrazdil vs Tiago Pereira?
Our model gives 78% to Tiago Pereira, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.