Tennis · M25 Koszalin · 29/07, 10:00

Prediction: Jakub Jedrzejczak vs Marcel Zielinski

Team pages: Jakub Jedrzejczak · Marcel Zielinski

Prediction summary
Winner
35% 65%
Jakub Jedrzejczak Marcel Zielinski
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Jakub Jedrzejczak 6-4 (W-L)
WLWLLWWWLW
Marcel Zielinski 6-4 (W-L)
WLLWLWWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jakub Jedrzejczak 1566 · Marcel Zielinski 1550
Jakub JedrzejczakMarcel Zielinski
Our model52%48%
Market22%78%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Jakub JedrzejczakMarcel Zielinski
Win %80%70%
Win % · Clay 63% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.71.5-0.9
Games (G-P)12.6-1011.5-10.4
Aces2.82.2
Double faults11.4
1st serve %64.4%63.8%
Break %65%42.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jakub Jedrzejczak

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/07 Szymon Malecki
M25 Koszalin
2-0 13-7 W
10/07 Leyton Rivera
M15 Lodz
0-2 6-12 L
09/07 Jakub Filip
M15 Lodz
2-0 12-7 W
08/07 Kacper Knitter
M15 Lodz
2-0 12-5 W
07/07 Martin Soukal
M15 Lodz
2-0 14-11 W
14/12 Filip Peliwo
UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet
0-2 7-12 L
13/12 Matthew Carroll
UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet
2-1 16-12 W
11/12 Jonasz Dziopak
UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet
2-1 16-12 W
10/12 Jannik Maute
UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet
2-1 17-14 W
09/12 Gabriel Matuszewski
UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet
2-0 13-8 W

Marcel Zielinski

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/07 Genaro Alberto Olivieri
Challenger Tampere · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
19/07 Matt Ponchet
Challenger Tampere · Clay
2-0 14-12 W
17/07 Kacper Knitter
Polish National Championships
2-0 12-5 W
16/07 Kacper Szymkowiak
Polish National Championships
2-0 13-7 W
03/07 Carles Hernandez
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
1-2 6-14 L
02/07 Enrique Carrascosa Diaz
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-1 15-9 W
01/07 Mario Arce Fernandez
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
20/06 Marlon Vankan
M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay
0-2 6-13 L
19/06 Yannik Kelm
M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay
2-1 17-15 W
18/06 Vincent Marysko
M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay
2-1 16-11 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jakub Jedrzejczak vs Marcel Zielinski?

Our model gives 65% to Marcel Zielinski, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.