Tennis · M25 Koszalin · 28/07, 14:00

Prediction: Adam Majchrzak vs Radovan Michalik

Team pages: Adam Majchrzak · Radovan Michalik

Prediction summary
Winner
68% 32%
Adam Majchrzak Radovan Michalik
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Adam Majchrzak 8-2 (W-L)
LLWWWWWWWW
Radovan Michalik 2-8 (W-L)
LLLWLLLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Adam Majchrzak 1545 · Radovan Michalik 1421
Adam MajchrzakRadovan Michalik
Our model67%33%
Market69%31%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Adam Majchrzak (rating 1545 vs 1421).
  • Adam Majchrzak is in better form: 60% recent wins.

Statistics

Adam MajchrzakRadovan Michalik
Win %60%20%
Win % · Clay 75% (8) 14% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.90.4-1.6
Games (G-P)12.1-9.57.1-10.9
Aces4.62.4
Double faults3.52.8
1st serve %76.2%67.9%
Break %52.6%43.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Adam Majchrzak

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/06 Karol Filar
M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay
1-2 10-16 L
24/06 Jakub Januchowski
M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
05/06 Kacper Knitter
M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay
1-2 14-17 L
04/06 Denis Vishenchuk Vishenko
M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
02/06 Gabriele Bosio
M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay
2-1 18-17 W
31/05 Vano Losaberidze
M15 Tsaghkadzor Qual · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
27/05 Mikayel Avanesyan
M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
25/05 Aleksander Konstantin
M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay
2-0 13-7 W
03/08 Fabrizio Andaloro
Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
30/07 Rudolf Molleker
ITF M25 Koszalin
0-2 9-13 L

Radovan Michalik

LLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/07 Tomas Lanik
M25 Ollersbach
0-2 5-12 L
17/07 Dimitris Sakellaridis
M15 Nova Gorica
0-2 2-12 L
15/07 Stevan Popovic
M15 Nova Gorica
2-0 10-2 W
30/06 Pietro Orlando Fellin
M15 Umag · ~Clay
0-2 12-14 L
16/06 Gabor Hornung
M15 Gyula · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
10/06 Corentin Denolly
M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
09/06 Xavier Ferrer Mateo
M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
02/06 Giannicola Misasi
M15 Szentendre · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
24/05 Ivan Ivanov
Challenger Kosice · Clay
0-2 1-12 L
21/05 Karol Filar
M15 Doboj · ~Clay
0-2 10-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Adam Majchrzak vs Radovan Michalik?

Our model gives 68% to Adam Majchrzak, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.