Tennis · W100 Gran Canaria · 28/07, 10:00
Prediction: Lisa Zaar vs Anna-Lena Friedsam
Team pages: Lisa Zaar · Anna-Lena Friedsam
Prediction summary
Winner
Lisa Zaar
Anna-Lena Friedsam
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Lisa Zaar
6-4 (W-L)
Anna-Lena Friedsam
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lisa Zaar 1466 · Anna-Lena Friedsam 1489
| Lisa Zaar | Anna-Lena Friedsam | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Anna-Lena Friedsam makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Lisa Zaar | Anna-Lena Friedsam | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (10) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-12.3 | 9.5-10.8 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 5.6 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 5.6 |
| 1st serve % | 52.7% | 63.7% |
| Break % | 50.7% | 37.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lisa Zaar
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Elena Malygina WTA Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Zhibek Kulambayeva WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 03/07 | Madison Sieg W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 01/07 | Iva Ivanova W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Anastasia Bertacchi W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/06 | Tyra Caterina Grant WTA Foggia · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 30/05 | Laura Samsonova W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 29/05 | Elena Ruxandra Bertea W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 28/05 | Xiaodi You W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Anna-Lena Friedsam
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Julie Pastikova W100 Amstetten |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 14/07 | Marina Bassols Ribera WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Diletta Cherubini W75 The Hague |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 23/06 | Clervie Ngounoue Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Kajsa Rinaldo Persson W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 12/06 | Gina Marie Dittmann W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 11/06 | Mina Hodzic W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 10/06 | Ela Plosnik W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 21/05 | Sinja Kraus French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Tamara Zidansek French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lisa Zaar vs Anna-Lena Friedsam?
Our model gives 53% to Lisa Zaar, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.