Tennis · W100 Gran Canaria · 28/07, 10:00
Prediction: Polona Hercog vs Laura Pigossi
Team pages: Polona Hercog · Laura Pigossi
Prediction summary
Winner
Polona Hercog
Laura Pigossi
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Polona Hercog
5-5 (W-L)
Laura Pigossi
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Polona Hercog 1537 · Laura Pigossi 1491
| Polona Hercog | Laura Pigossi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 51% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Polona Hercog (rating 1537 vs 1491).
Statistics
| Polona Hercog | Laura Pigossi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (9) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-10.2 | 9.4-8 |
| Aces | 2 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 62.1% | 60.3% |
| Break % | 52.4% | 49.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Polona Hercog
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Dalila Jakupovic WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 23/06 | Bianca Andreescu Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/05 | Kajsa Rinaldo Persson W75 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/05 | Ayla Aksu W75 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/05 | Lucrezia Stefanini W75 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 08/05 | Ane Mintegi Del Olmo W35 Platja d'Aro · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Miriana Tona W35 Platja d'Aro · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/05 | Lucia Natal W35 Platja d'Aro · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 01/05 | Xiyu Wang WTA Huzhou · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 30/04 | Yufei Ren WTA Huzhou · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
Laura Pigossi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Julia Riera W75 Vacaria |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Fernanda Labrana W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 23/07 | Maria Florencia Urrutia W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/07 | Camila Rodero W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 14/07 | Laura Samsonova WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 07/07 | Maria Lourdes Carle WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Oceane Dodin Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/06 | Deborah Chiesa W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Anastasia Tikhonova W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/06 | Gabriella Da Silva Fick W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Polona Hercog vs Laura Pigossi?
Our model gives 54% to Polona Hercog, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.