Tennis · W100 Gran Canaria · 29/07, 10:00
Prediction: Francesca Curmi vs Francisca Jorge
Team pages: Francesca Curmi · Francisca Jorge
Prediction summary
Winner
Francesca Curmi
Francisca Jorge
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Francesca Curmi
6-4 (W-L)
Francisca Jorge
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Francesca Curmi
2–1
Francisca Jorge
(3 last)
- 11 Apr2-0 12-7W
- 28 Sept2-1 16-13W
- 07 Jul0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francesca Curmi 1584 · Francisca Jorge 1485
| Francesca Curmi | Francisca Jorge | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Francesca Curmi (rating 1584 vs 1485).
- Head-to-head: Francesca Curmi 2–1 Francisca Jorge (3).
Statistics
| Francesca Curmi | Francisca Jorge | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.7 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-8.2 | 10.2-10 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 59.8% | 61% |
| Break % | 46.3% | 48.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
H2H · Francesca Curmi 2 – 1 Francisca Jorge (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Francesca Curmi 2–1 Francisca Jorge
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/23 Billie Jean King Cup | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/09/22 ITF W25 Lisbon | 2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 07/07/22 Billie Jean King Cup | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francesca Curmi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Martina Trevisan W75 Cordenons |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Katerina Tsygourova W75 Cordenons |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 21/07 | Pia Lovric W75 Cordenons |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/07 | Nastasja Schunk W50 Darmstadt |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Xinxin Yao W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/07 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/07 | Fernanda Labrana W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/07 | Jeline Vandromme WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Rebeka Masarova WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/07 | Oceane Dodin WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Francisca Jorge
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Carol Young Suh Lee W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Angelina Voloshchuk W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/07 | Kira Pavlova W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Hiromi Abe W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/07 | Elena Micic W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 24/06 | Lina Gjorcheska Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 23/06 | Dalma Galfi Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/06 | Elena Micic WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Aliona Falei W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Valentina Losciale W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francesca Curmi vs Francisca Jorge?
Our model gives 58% to Francesca Curmi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.