Tennis · W100 Gran Canaria · 28/07, 10:00
Prediction: Maria Lourdes Carle vs Emma Lene
Team pages: Maria Lourdes Carle · Emma Lene
Prediction summary
Winner
Maria Lourdes Carle
Emma Lene
Estimated games
19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Lourdes Carle
4-6 (W-L)
Emma Lene
10-0 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maria Lourdes Carle 1529 · Emma Lene 1608
| Maria Lourdes Carle | Emma Lene | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Emma Lene (rating 1529 vs 1608).
- Note: Maria Lourdes Carle makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Maria Lourdes Carle | Emma Lene | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.7-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-9.2 | 11.2-5.7 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 57.7% | 65.8% |
| Break % | 47.5% | 63.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maria Lourdes Carle
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Anhelina Kalinina WTA Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Jule Niemeier WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 20/07 | Jessica Pieri WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/07 | Emily Eigelsbach WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/07 | Marina Bassols Ribera WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Barbora Palicova WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 14/07 | Kathinka Von Deichmann WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 08/07 | Anna Blinkova WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Laura Pigossi WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/07 | Lisa Pigato W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Emma Lene
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Laura Mair W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/07 | Maria Oliver Sanchez W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/07 | Shannon Lam W15 Gran Canaria |
1-0 | 7-5 | W |
| 23/07 | Liv Boulard W15 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/07 | Sofia Montesinos Vilanova W15 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/07 | Astrid Lew Yan Foon W35 Torino |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 15/07 | Anastasia Bertacchi W35 Torino |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 14/07 | Ela Nala Milic W35 Torino |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/06 | Aran Teixido Garcia W35 Casablanca · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Ekaterina Perelygina W35 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maria Lourdes Carle vs Emma Lene?
Our model gives 50% to Maria Lourdes Carle, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.