Tennis · W100 Gran Canaria · 28/07, 17:30

Prediction: Julia Grabher vs Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur

Team pages: Julia Grabher · Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur

Prediction summary
Winner
57% 43%
Julia Grabher Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Julia Grabher 7-3 (W-L)
LLWWWWLWWW
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur 8-2 (W-L)
LWWWWWWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Julia Grabher 1567 · Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur 1565
Julia GrabherJoelle Lilly Sophie Steur
Our model50%50%
Market63%38%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Julia Grabher makes many double faults (5/match).

Statistics

Julia GrabherJoelle Lilly Sophie Steur
Win %60%70%
Win % · Clay 67% (6) 0% (1)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.91.5-0.6
Games (G-P)12.3-9.510.3-6.5
Aces1.10.4
Double faults51.1
1st serve %62.1%61.9%
Break %47%50.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Julia Grabher

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
24/07 Vivian Wolff
W100 Amstetten
1-2 13-15 L
23/07 Iva Primorac Pavicic
W100 Amstetten
2-0 12-1 W
21/07 Ekaterina Perelygina
W100 Amstetten
2-0 12-1 W
19/07 Sinja Kraus
WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
18/07 Veronika Erjavec
WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
17/07 Jeline Vandromme
WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
15/07 Ekaterina Perelygina
WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
13/07 Elena Ruxandra Bertea
WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay
2-1 17-14 W
06/07 Rebeka Masarova
WTA Contrexeville · Clay
1-2 17-18 L
23/06 Mariam Bolkvadze
Wimbledon Women · Grass
0-2 10-13 L

Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/07 Camilla Zanolini
W100 Gran Canaria
2-0 12-4 W
26/07 Alyssa Reguer
W100 Gran Canaria
2-0 11-4 W
16/07 Francesca Curmi
W50 Darmstadt
0-2 3-12 L
15/07 Annemarie Lazar
W50 Darmstadt
2-0 12-4 W
10/07 Alena Kovackova
W75 The Hague
1-2 15-17 L
09/07 Zhibek Kulambayeva
W75 The Hague
2-0 12-4 W
08/07 Isis Louise Van den Broek
W75 The Hague
2-0 12-3 W
06/07 Lian Tran
W75 The Hague
2-0 12-4 W
05/07 Charlotte Van Zonneveld
W75 The Hague
2-0 12-1 W
25/06 Barbora Palicova
W50 Gdansk · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Julia Grabher vs Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur?

Our model gives 57% to Julia Grabher, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.