Tennis · Challenger Liberec · 28/07, 17:00
Prediction: Franco Roncadelli vs Jakub Nicod
Team pages: Franco Roncadelli · Jakub Nicod
Prediction summary
Winner
Franco Roncadelli
Jakub Nicod
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Franco Roncadelli
2-8 (W-L)
Jakub Nicod
10-0 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Franco Roncadelli 1483 · Jakub Nicod 1571
| Franco Roncadelli | Jakub Nicod | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jakub Nicod (rating 1483 vs 1571).
- Jakub Nicod is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Franco Roncadelli | Jakub Nicod | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 44% (9) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.5 | 1.8-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-11.9 | 11.8-6.8 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 0.5 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 56.5% | 72.3% |
| Break % | 46.1% | 46.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Franco Roncadelli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Henri Squire Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Oskari Paldanius Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 17/07 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 14/07 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 06/07 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Alvaro Guillen Meza Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 22/06 | Dane Sweeny Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Jakub Nicod
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/07 | Alejandro Juan Mano M25 The Hague |
1-2 | 9-11 | L |
| 10/07 | Pieter De Lange M25 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/07 | Taym Alazmeh M25 The Hague |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 08/07 | Timeo Trufelli M25 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/07 | Pieter De Lange M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-10 | L |
| 04/07 | Hazem Naw M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 10-3 | W |
| 03/07 | Gabriele Maria Noce M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 02/07 | Yannic Nittmann M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Steffan Van Weldam M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Franco Roncadelli vs Jakub Nicod?
Our model gives 62% to Jakub Nicod, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.