Tennis · W75 Hechingen · 29/07, 10:00
Prediction: Xinxin Yao vs Dayeon Back
Team pages: Xinxin Yao · Dayeon Back
Prediction summary
Winner
Xinxin Yao
Dayeon Back
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Xinxin Yao
5-5 (W-L)
Dayeon Back
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Xinxin Yao 1534 · Dayeon Back 1564
| Xinxin Yao | Dayeon Back | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Xinxin Yao | Dayeon Back | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 1.4-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-9.2 | 11-7.9 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 60.8% | 63.7% |
| Break % | 60.1% | 57.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Xinxin Yao
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Lola Giza W50 Horb |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Sophie Triquart W50 Horb |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/07 | Francesca Curmi W50 Darmstadt |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Diana Martynov W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Isabel Skoog W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Darya Astakhova W100 Aschaffenburg |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Mai Hontama W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Yufei Ren W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/06 | Reina Goto W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 05/06 | JiaYi Wang W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Dayeon Back
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Lea Nilsson W50 Horb |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/07 | Denislava Glushkova W50 Horb |
2-0 | 10-2 | W |
| 24/07 | Loes Ebeling Koning W50 Horb |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/07 | Madelief Hageman W50 Horb |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/07 | Oana Georgeta Simion W50 Horb |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Alicia Herrero Linana W50 Darmstadt |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Sandra Samir W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/06 | Priska Madelyn Nugroho W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Thasaporn Naklo W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/06 | Kisa Yoshioka W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Xinxin Yao vs Dayeon Back?
Our model gives 59% to Dayeon Back, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.