Tennis · W15 Astana · 29/07, 07:00
Prediction: Maria Mikhailova vs Sandugash Kenzhibayeva
Team pages: Maria Mikhailova · Sandugash Kenzhibayeva
Prediction summary
Winner
Maria Mikhailova
Sandugash Kenzhibayeva
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Mikhailova
3-7 (W-L)
Sandugash Kenzhibayeva
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maria Mikhailova 1458 · Sandugash Kenzhibayeva 1464
| Maria Mikhailova | Sandugash Kenzhibayeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Maria Mikhailova makes many double faults (5.2/match).
- Note: Sandugash Kenzhibayeva makes many double faults (6.9/match).
Statistics
| Maria Mikhailova | Sandugash Kenzhibayeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 38% (8) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.5 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9-11.2 | 9.8-11 |
| Aces | 1 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 5.2 | 6.9 |
| 1st serve % | 51.1% | 52.1% |
| Break % | 52.2% | 43.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maria Mikhailova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Daria Belyaeva W15 Astana |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Federica Sacco W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Leonie Rabl W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/06 | Warda Ait El Bachir W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Lorena Solar Donoso W15 Casablanca · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 03/06 | Mirabelle Tahiri W15 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/05 | Anna Sedysheva W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 26/05 | Darya Kharlanova W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 20/05 | Kira Bataikina W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 05/05 | Madhurima Sawant W35 Tumkur · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
Sandugash Kenzhibayeva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Ekaterina Tupitsyna W15 Astana |
1-2 | 6-16 | L |
| 15/07 | Nina Sozaonova W15 Astana |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 08/07 | Kamonwan Yodpetch W15 Astana |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 24/06 | Doga Turkmen W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Ada Kumru W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 0-8 | L |
| 17/06 | Marina Markina W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/06 | Mandegar Farzami W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 15/05 | Alina Tikhonova W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/05 | Anna Yang W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 13/05 | Daria Shubina W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maria Mikhailova vs Sandugash Kenzhibayeva?
Our model gives 67% to Sandugash Kenzhibayeva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.