Tennis · W15 Astana · 29/07, 07:00
Prediction: Ha Eum Lee vs Aruzhan Sagandikova
Team pages: Ha Eum Lee · Aruzhan Sagandikova
Prediction summary
Winner
Ha Eum Lee
Aruzhan Sagandikova
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Ha Eum Lee
6-4 (W-L)
Aruzhan Sagandikova
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ha Eum Lee 1507 · Aruzhan Sagandikova 1513
| Ha Eum Lee | Aruzhan Sagandikova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Ha Eum Lee | Aruzhan Sagandikova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-9.4 | 10-11.3 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 56.8% | 55.6% |
| Break % | 51.8% | 47.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ha Eum Lee
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Seo Yun Choi W15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 15/07 | Alisa Ziatdinova W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/07 | JiaYi Wang W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Shiyu Ye W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
| 01/07 | Jiyun Oh W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/05 | Dayeon Back W35 Changwon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/05 | Dabin Kim W35 Changwon · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 22/05 | Arina Varaksina W35 Changwon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/05 | Hanna Chang W35 Changwon · ~Hard |
1-0 | 10-8 | W |
| 21/05 | Nanari Katsumi W35 Changwon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Aruzhan Sagandikova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Gaeul Jang W15 Astana |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Ekaterina Maklakova W15 Astana |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Kamonwan Yodpetch W15 Astana |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 10/07 | Ingkar Dyussebay W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Eva Korysheva W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/07 | Valeriia Iushchenko W15 Astana |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 18/06 | Ana Giraldi Requena W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 17/06 | Gala Ivanovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 09/06 | Iva Ivanovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/05 | Kristina Kroitor W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ha Eum Lee vs Aruzhan Sagandikova?
Our model gives 52% to Ha Eum Lee, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.