Tennis · WTA Memphis · 28/07, 18:00
Prediction: Yexin Ma vs Kimberly Birrell
Prediction summary
Winner
Yexin Ma
Kimberly Birrell
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Yexin Ma
6-4 (W-L)
Kimberly Birrell
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Yexin Ma
1–1
Kimberly Birrell
(2 last)
- 05 Feb0-2 4-12L
- 02 Feb2-0 14-12W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yexin Ma 1540 · Kimberly Birrell 1505
| Yexin Ma | Kimberly Birrell | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Kimberly Birrell makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Yexin Ma | Kimberly Birrell | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | – | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-10.1 | 11.6-11 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 59.6% | 67.8% |
| Break % | 48.5% | 50.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
H2H · Yexin Ma 1 – 1 Kimberly Birrell (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yexin Ma 1–1 Kimberly Birrell
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/02/25 W75 Brisbane | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/02/23 ITF W60 Burnie | 2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yexin Ma
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Aoi Ito WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 22/07 | Hong Yi Cody Wong W100 Evansville |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 17/07 | Dana Guzman W35 Dallas |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Rachel Gailis W35 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Theadora Rabman W35 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/07 | Francoise Abanda W50 Columbus |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 05/07 | Lucrezia Stefanini W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Mia Slama W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Momoko Kobori W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 30/06 | Reese Brantmeier W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Kimberly Birrell
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Sorana Cirstea Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Alina Korneeva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 24/06 | Petra Marcinko WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/06 | Peyton Stearns WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 20/06 | Indianna Spink WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/06 | Ann Li WTA Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 14/06 | Katie Volynets WTA Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 13/06 | Mingge Xu WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/06 | Magda Linette WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yexin Ma vs Kimberly Birrell?
Our model gives 64% to Kimberly Birrell, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.