Tennis · WTA Memphis · 28/07, 01:30
Prediction: Katherine Sebov vs Elvina Kalieva
Prediction summary
Winner
Katherine Sebov
Elvina Kalieva
Estimated games
23.8
Recent form · 10 last
Katherine Sebov
5-5 (W-L)
Elvina Kalieva
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Katherine Sebov
1–0
Elvina Kalieva
(1 last)
- 09 Apr2-0 13-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Katherine Sebov 1518 · Elvina Kalieva 1484
| Katherine Sebov | Elvina Kalieva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 36% | 64% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Katherine Sebov 1–0 Elvina Kalieva (1).
- Note: Elvina Kalieva makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Katherine Sebov | Elvina Kalieva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Grass | 60% (5) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-10.6 | 11.7-13.3 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 6.3 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 54% | 65.6% |
| Break % | 42.6% | 36.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.8
H2H · Katherine Sebov 1 – 0 Elvina Kalieva (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Katherine Sebov 1–0 Elvina Kalieva
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/04/25 W35 Boca Raton | 2-0 | 13-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Katherine Sebov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Aran Teixido Garcia WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 25/07 | Camila Soares WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 21/07 | Hong Yi Cody Wong W100 Evansville |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 09/07 | Tatjana Maria WTA Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Cadence Brace WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/06 | Iryna Shymanovich Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 24/06 | Noma Noha Akugue Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 23/06 | Jazmin Ortenzi Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 14/06 | Allura Zamarripa WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Manon Leonard W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Elvina Kalieva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Caroline Dolehide W100 Evansville |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 23/07 | Kayla Cross W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/07 | Hayu Kinoshita W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 30/06 | Lea Ma W100 Cary · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 24/06 | Robin Montgomery Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Ella Mcdonald Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 09/06 | Ashlyn Krueger WTA Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Mika Stojsavljevic WTA Birmingham · Grass |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 01/06 | Talia Gibson WTA Birmingham · Grass |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 18/05 | Matilde Jorge French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Katherine Sebov vs Elvina Kalieva?
Our model gives 55% to Elvina Kalieva, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.