Tennis · W50 Knokke-Heist · 27/07, 12:30
Prediction: Yara Bartashevich vs Tilwith Di Girolami
Prediction summary
Winner
Yara Bartashevich
Tilwith Di Girolami
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Yara Bartashevich
4-6 (W-L)
Tilwith Di Girolami
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Yara Bartashevich
1–0
Tilwith Di Girolami
(1 last)
- 21 Nov2-0 13-9W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yara Bartashevich 1502 · Tilwith Di Girolami 1526
| Yara Bartashevich | Tilwith Di Girolami | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Yara Bartashevich 1–0 Tilwith Di Girolami (1).
- Note: Yara Bartashevich makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Yara Bartashevich | Tilwith Di Girolami | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 25% (4) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-12.6 | 11.7-8.8 |
| Aces | 3.2 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 62.8% | 61% |
| Break % | 49.8% | 57.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
H2H · Yara Bartashevich 1 – 0 Tilwith Di Girolami (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yara Bartashevich 1–0 Tilwith Di Girolami
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/11/22 ITF W25 Petange | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yara Bartashevich
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Daria Kuczer W50 Knokke-Heist |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 24/07 | Linea Bajraliu W35 Gentofte |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Isabel Skoog W35 Gentofte |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 21/07 | Emma Kamper W35 Gentofte |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 16/07 | Katerina Tsygourova W35 Torino |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Oana Georgeta Simion W35 Torino |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/07 | Maria Sara Popa WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Madison Sieg W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Romane Longueville W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/06 | Sofya Lansere W75 Blois · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
Tilwith Di Girolami
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Romy De Baene W50 Knokke-Heist |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Lola Giza W50 Darmstadt |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/07 | Anastasiya Zaparyniuk W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/07 | Zhibek Kulambayeva W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Briana Szabo W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 29/06 | Jinte de Boer W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 19/06 | Lisa Claeys W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 18/06 | Laetitia Sarrazin W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 17/06 | Chrystal Lopez W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/05 | Amarissa Kiara Toth W50 Portoroz · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yara Bartashevich vs Tilwith Di Girolami?
Our model gives 50% to Yara Bartashevich, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.