Tennis · WTA Memphis · 28/07, 18:00
Prediction: Renata Zarazua vs McCartney Kessler
Prediction summary
Winner
Renata Zarazua
McCartney Kessler
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Renata Zarazua
3-7 (W-L)
McCartney Kessler
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Renata Zarazua
0–4
McCartney Kessler
(4 last)
- 16 May0-2 7-13L
- 18 May0-2 9-13L
- 27 Jun1-2 11-15L
- 07 Oct0-2 8-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Renata Zarazua 1474 · McCartney Kessler 1493
| Renata Zarazua | McCartney Kessler | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 24% | 76% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Renata Zarazua 0–4 McCartney Kessler (4).
Statistics
| Renata Zarazua | McCartney Kessler | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Grass | 33% (6) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.9-10.8 | 9.5-11.3 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 62.7% | 62.2% |
| Break % | 33.3% | 38.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
H2H · Renata Zarazua 0 – 4 McCartney Kessler (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Renata Zarazua 0–4 McCartney Kessler
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 WTA Strasbourg | 0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 18/05/25 WTA Strasbourg | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/06/24 Wimbledon Women | 1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 07/10/23 ITF W60 Rome GA | 0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Renata Zarazua
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Caroline Dolehide W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/07 | Yuki Naito W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 10-5 | W |
| 23/07 | Sloane Stephens W100 Evansville |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 22/07 | Cadence Brace W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Alexandra Eala Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Xinyu Wang WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Sinja Kraus WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 20/06 | Mariella Thamm WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/06 | Linda Noskova WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Petra Marcinko WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
McCartney Kessler
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Aryna Sabalenka Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Oleksandra Oliynykova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 25/06 | Madison Keys WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Anhelina Kalinina WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/06 | Daria Kasatkina WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/06 | Katie Volynets WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Karolina Pliskova WTA Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 28/05 | Diana Shnaider French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 25/05 | Hanyu Guo French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 18/05 | Jaqueline Adina Cristian WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Renata Zarazua vs McCartney Kessler?
Our model gives 66% to McCartney Kessler, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.