Tennis · WTA Memphis · 28/07, 18:00
Prediction: Yulia Starodubtsewa vs Sloane Stephens
Prediction summary
Winner
Yulia Starodubtsewa
Sloane Stephens
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Yulia Starodubtsewa
4-6 (W-L)
Sloane Stephens
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yulia Starodubtsewa 1489 · Sloane Stephens 1504
| Yulia Starodubtsewa | Sloane Stephens | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 64% | 36% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Sloane Stephens dominates on serve: 6.5 aces and 41.4% break avg.
Statistics
| Yulia Starodubtsewa | Sloane Stephens | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.4 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-12.9 | 10.9-10 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 6.5 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 57.6% | 62.6% |
| Break % | 45.8% | 41.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yulia Starodubtsewa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Anna Blinkova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 23/06 | Anastasia Zakharova WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 17/06 | Emma Navarro WTA Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 15/06 | Maya Joint WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 29/05 | Xiyu Wang French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Elena Rybakina French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 24/05 | Anna Blinkova French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/05 | Anhelina Kalinina WTA Rabat · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Angela Fita Boluda WTA Rabat · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/05 | Madison Keys WTA Paris · Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
Sloane Stephens
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Renata Zarazua W100 Evansville |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 22/07 | BoYoung Jeong W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/05 | Sara Bejlek French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Leyre Romero Gormaz French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 20/05 | Lisa Pigato French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/05 | Carol Young Suh Lee French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/05 | Veronika Podrez WTA Paris · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 27/04 | Tereza Valentova WTA Saint-Malo · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/04 | Anhelina Kalinina WTA Madrid · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 20/04 | Diane Parry WTA Madrid · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yulia Starodubtsewa vs Sloane Stephens?
Our model gives 57% to Yulia Starodubtsewa, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.