Tennis · WTA Memphis · 28/07, 18:00
Prediction: Mary Stoiana vs Peyton Stearns
Prediction summary
Winner
Mary Stoiana
Peyton Stearns
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Mary Stoiana
8-2 (W-L)
Peyton Stearns
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Mary Stoiana
0–1
Peyton Stearns
(1 last)
- 19 Oct1-2 11-14L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mary Stoiana 1545 · Peyton Stearns 1495
| Mary Stoiana | Peyton Stearns | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 36% | 64% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mary Stoiana (rating 1545 vs 1495).
- Head-to-head: Mary Stoiana 0–1 Peyton Stearns (1).
Statistics
| Mary Stoiana | Peyton Stearns | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 57% (7) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.9 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-9.5 | 10.3-9.9 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 64% | 66.3% |
| Break % | 57.5% | 37.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
H2H · Mary Stoiana 0 – 1 Peyton Stearns (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mary Stoiana 0–1 Peyton Stearns
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10/22 ITF W25 Fort Worth | 1-2 | 11-14 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mary Stoiana
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Yeon Woo Ku W100 Evansville |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 23/07 | Julieta Pareja W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/07 | Anna Rogers W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/07 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew WTA Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 09/07 | Iryna Shymanovich WTA Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 08/07 | Katrina Scott WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/06 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 23/06 | Kayla Cross Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/06 | Celine Naef WTA Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Tatiana Prozorova WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Peyton Stearns
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Nikola Bartunkova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 21/06 | Kimberly Birrell WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 20/06 | Emily Appleton WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/05 | Belinda Bencic French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Daria Snigur French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/05 | Sofia Kenin French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/05 | Daria Kasatkina WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/05 | Maria Sakkari WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/05 | Madison Keys WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 06/05 | Janice Tjen WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mary Stoiana vs Peyton Stearns?
Our model gives 54% to Peyton Stearns, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.