Tennis · WTA Memphis · 28/07, 18:00
Prediction: Xiyu Wang vs Caty McNally
Prediction summary
Winner
Xiyu Wang
Caty McNally
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Xiyu Wang
7-3 (W-L)
Caty McNally
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Xiyu Wang
0–2
Caty McNally
(2 last)
- 26 Jul0-2 4-12L
- 01 Oct0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Xiyu Wang 1559 · Caty McNally 1520
| Xiyu Wang | Caty McNally | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 40% | 60% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Xiyu Wang 0–2 Caty McNally (2).
- Note: Caty McNally makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Xiyu Wang | Caty McNally | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 100% (1) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.6 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-7.4 | 11.8-9.9 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 57.3% | 62.2% |
| Break % | 68.5% | 45.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
H2H · Xiyu Wang 0 – 2 Caty McNally (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Xiyu Wang 0–2 Caty McNally
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07/25 W100 Evansville | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/10/22 WTA Ostrava | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Xiyu Wang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Hanyu Guo Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/06 | Mayar Sherif WTA Brescia · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/06 | Luisina Giovannini WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/06 | Carole Monnet WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/06 | Xinyu Gao WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/06 | Laura Samsonova WTA Modena · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 31/05 | Sorana Cirstea French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/05 | Yulia Starodubtsewa French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/05 | Danka Kovinic French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Caty McNally
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Elena Rybakina Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/06 | Petra Marcinko WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 24/06 | Emiliana Arango WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/06 | Janice Tjen WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 18/06 | Karolina Pliskova WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Antonia Ruzic WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/06 | Ajla Tomljanovic WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Solana Sierra WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/06 | Emma Navarro WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Xiyu Wang vs Caty McNally?
Our model gives 53% to Caty McNally, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.