Tennis · W75 Hechingen · 27/07, 11:00
Prediction: Maria Toma vs Nagi Hanatani
Prediction summary
Winner
Maria Toma
Nagi Hanatani
Estimated games
19.2
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Toma
3-7 (W-L)
Nagi Hanatani
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maria Toma 1472 · Nagi Hanatani 1472
| Maria Toma | Nagi Hanatani | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Maria Toma makes many double faults (4.4/match).
- Note: Nagi Hanatani makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Maria Toma | Nagi Hanatani | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.3 | 0.8-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.7-10.9 | 8.5-8.9 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 55.1% | 60.3% |
| Break % | 35.4% | 51.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maria Toma
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Neus Torner Sensano W50 Horb |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 21/07 | Petra Sedlackova W50 Horb |
1-1 | 9-8 | W |
| 20/07 | Veena Mariam Nazar W50 Horb |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/06 | Michaela Bayerlova W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Lucija Ciric Bagaric W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Diletta Cherubini W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 22/06 | Khrystyna Vozniak W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
1-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Irina Balus W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Alessandra Mazzola W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 04/06 | Karla Bartel W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Nagi Hanatani
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Sophia Bergqvist W35 Gentofte |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Clara Vlasselaer W50 Nottingham |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/07 | Aleksandra Mateva W50 Nottingham |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/07 | Pui Yin Lung W50 Nottingham |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/06 | Ya-Yi Yang W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Yu-Ching Wang W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/06 | Eri Shimizu W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Yu-Ching Wang W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/06 | Gaeul Jang W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Eri Shimizu W100 Takasaki · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maria Toma vs Nagi Hanatani?
Our model gives 54% to Maria Toma, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.