Tennis · M15 Dublin · 27/07, 12:30
Prediction: Barney Fitzpatrick vs Michael Wright
Team pages: Barney Fitzpatrick · Michael Wright
Prediction summary
Winner
Barney Fitzpatrick
Michael Wright
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Barney Fitzpatrick
3-7 (W-L)
Michael Wright
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Barney Fitzpatrick 1469 · Michael Wright 1433
| Barney Fitzpatrick | Michael Wright | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Michael Wright makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Barney Fitzpatrick | Michael Wright | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 25% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 0.9-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.3-10 | 10.5-12.3 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 8.6 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 61.4% | 70% |
| Break % | 32% | 31.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Barney Fitzpatrick
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05 | Lars Goran Verwerft M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Yoan Naydenov M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/04 | Isaac Becroft M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/04 | Sungbeen Sim M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/04 | Tristan Stringer M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-11 | L |
| 29/01 | Luca Staeheli M15 Zahra · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/01 | Bader Alabdullah M15 Zahra · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 26/01 | Guelfo Baldovinetti M15 Zahra · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-11 | W |
| 27/08 | Joe Leather M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Rayen Hermassi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-11 | L |
Michael Wright
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Max Benaim M15 Castelo Branco |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Dominique Rolland M25 Porto |
1-2 | 10-11 | L |
| 09/06 | Marcos Castro Fabra M25 Martos · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 02/06 | Jeffrey Fradkin M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-11 | L |
| 19/12 | Stijn Paardekooper UTR Pro Honolulu · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/12 | Christopher Rodi UTR Pro Honolulu · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/12 | Colson Wells UTR Pro Honolulu · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 15/12 | Pierre Mouesca UTR Pro Honolulu · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 12/12 | Timothy Li UTR Pro Honolulu · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 10/12 | Toa Maeda UTR Pro Honolulu · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Barney Fitzpatrick vs Michael Wright?
Our model gives 56% to Michael Wright, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.