Tennis · W100 Gran Canaria · 27/07, 10:30

Prediction: Laura Mair vs Emma Lene

Prediction summary
Winner
37% 63%
Laura Mair Emma Lene
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Laura Mair 8-2 (W-L)
WWWWLWWLWW
Emma Lene 9-1 (W-L)
LWWWWWWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Laura Mair 1550 · Emma Lene 1598
Laura MairEmma Lene
Our model43%57%
Market31%69%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Emma Lene (rating 1550 vs 1598).

Statistics

Laura MairEmma Lene
Win %70%80%
Win % · Clay 75% (8) 67% (3)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.61.7-0.5
Games (G-P)10.2-8.211.6-6.8
Aces0.90.8
Double faults3.21.7
1st serve %68.4%66%
Break %54.9%67.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Laura Mair

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/07 Victoria Vidal
W100 Gran Canaria
2-0 11-2 W
21/07 Aneta Kucmova
W100 Amstetten
1-2 11-18 L
19/06 Berta Passola
W35 Klosters · ~Clay
0-2 5-10 L
18/06 Iva Ivankovic
W35 Klosters · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
17/06 Kailey Evans
W35 Klosters · ~Clay
2-0 13-10 W
12/06 Kajsa Rinaldo Persson
W100 Zagreb · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
11/06 Lucija Ciric Bagaric
W100 Zagreb · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
09/06 Alice Rame
W100 Zagreb · ~Clay
2-0 14-12 W
08/06 Sara Mikaca
W100 Zagreb · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
07/06 Mirjana Jovanovic
W100 Zagreb · ~Clay
2-0 10-2 W

Emma Lene

LWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/07 Maria Oliver Sanchez
W100 Gran Canaria
2-0 12-3 W
24/07 Shannon Lam
W15 Gran Canaria
1-0 7-5 W
23/07 Liv Boulard
W15 Gran Canaria
2-0 12-5 W
22/07 Sofia Montesinos Vilanova
W15 Gran Canaria
2-0 12-2 W
16/07 Astrid Lew Yan Foon
W35 Torino
1-2 12-14 L
15/07 Anastasia Bertacchi
W35 Torino
2-0 12-1 W
14/07 Ela Nala Milic
W35 Torino
2-0 12-5 W
13/06 Aran Teixido Garcia
W35 Casablanca · ~Clay
1-2 9-13 L
12/06 Ekaterina Perelygina
W35 Casablanca · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
11/06 Verena Meliss
W35 Casablanca · ~Clay
2-1 16-13 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Laura Mair vs Emma Lene?

Our model gives 63% to Emma Lene, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.