Tennis · W100 Gran Canaria · 27/07, 10:30
Prediction: Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur vs Camilla Zanolini
Prediction summary
Winner
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
Camilla Zanolini
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
8-2 (W-L)
Camilla Zanolini
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur 1559 · Camilla Zanolini 1508
| Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | Camilla Zanolini | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur (rating 1559 vs 1508).
Statistics
| Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | Camilla Zanolini | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-7.2 | 11.8-9.6 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 1.2 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 61.3% | 59% |
| Break % | 48.6% | 60.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Alyssa Reguer W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 11-4 | W |
| 16/07 | Francesca Curmi W50 Darmstadt |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Annemarie Lazar W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/07 | Alena Kovackova W75 The Hague |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 09/07 | Zhibek Kulambayeva W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/07 | Isis Louise Van den Broek W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/07 | Lian Tran W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/07 | Charlotte Van Zonneveld W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 25/06 | Barbora Palicova W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Lia Karatancheva W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
Camilla Zanolini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Warona Mdlulwa W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/07 | Lucia Rodriguez W15 Gran Canaria |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Gabriela Ce W35 Torino |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Anouck Vrancken Peeters W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 30/06 | Josy Daems W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/06 | Charlotte Narti W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 23/06 | Laurie Barendse W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/06 | Thea Frodin W35 Ystad · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Sarah Van Emst W35 Ystad · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/05 | Ekaterina Maklakova W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur vs Camilla Zanolini?
Our model gives 69% to Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.