Tennis · W50 Knokke-Heist · 27/07, 11:00
Prediction: Mara Guth vs Loes Ebeling Koning
Prediction summary
Winner
Mara Guth
Loes Ebeling Koning
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Mara Guth
5-5 (W-L)
Loes Ebeling Koning
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mara Guth 1511 · Loes Ebeling Koning 1584
| Mara Guth | Loes Ebeling Koning | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Loes Ebeling Koning (rating 1511 vs 1584).
- Loes Ebeling Koning is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Mara Guth makes many double faults (6.9/match).
Statistics
| Mara Guth | Loes Ebeling Koning | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-11.4 | 13.6-8.9 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 6.9 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 55.9% | 72.7% |
| Break % | 48.4% | 58.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mara Guth
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Merel Hoedt W50 Knokke-Heist |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 23/07 | Nellie Taraba Wallberg W35 Gentofte |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Carolina Kuhl W35 Gentofte |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/07 | Isabel Skoog W50 Darmstadt |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 06/07 | Laura Hietaranta W100 Aschaffenburg |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 26/06 | Valentina Ivanov W15 Kamen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 25/06 | Daniela Ciobanu W15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Isabella Angelina Abendroth W15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/06 | Julia Stusek W35 Klosters · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Nicole Gadient W35 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
Loes Ebeling Koning
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Lena Thomas Iglesias W50 Knokke-Heist |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/07 | Dayeon Back W50 Horb |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Samira De Stefano W50 Horb |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/07 | Lucie Nguyen Tan W50 Horb |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 21/07 | Karla Bartel W50 Horb |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 20/07 | Anna Burchak W50 Horb |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/07 | Gina Feistel W75 The Hague |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 08/07 | Britt Du Pree W75 The Hague |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 06/07 | Sarah Iliev W75 The Hague |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 05/07 | Polina Kuharenko W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mara Guth vs Loes Ebeling Koning?
Our model gives 57% to Loes Ebeling Koning, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.