Tennis · Challenger Liberec · 28/07, 11:00
Prediction: Maks Kasnikowski vs Frederico Ferreira Silva
Prediction summary
Winner
Maks Kasnikowski
Frederico Ferreira Silva
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Maks Kasnikowski
6-4 (W-L)
Frederico Ferreira Silva
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maks Kasnikowski 1546 · Frederico Ferreira Silva 1426
| Maks Kasnikowski | Frederico Ferreira Silva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 33% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maks Kasnikowski (rating 1546 vs 1426).
- Maks Kasnikowski is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Maks Kasnikowski | Frederico Ferreira Silva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 22% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.1 | 0.8-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-11.8 | 10.9-12.9 |
| Aces | 3 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 0.7 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 71.4% | 70% |
| Break % | 31.8% | 34.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maks Kasnikowski
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Otto Virtanen Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Hynek Barton Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 22/07 | Eero Vasa Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/07 | Louis Wessels Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/07 | Francesco Passaro ATP Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 10/07 | Jerome Kym Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 08/07 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 06/07 | Federico Cina Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 04/07 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 03/07 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frederico Ferreira Silva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Luca Van Assche ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 12/07 | Martin Krumich ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 02/07 | Olle Wallin Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/06 | Matej Dodig Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 17/06 | Gonzalo Bueno Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/06 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 25/05 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maks Kasnikowski vs Frederico Ferreira Silva?
Our model gives 65% to Maks Kasnikowski, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.