Tennis · M25 Champaign · 26/07, 17:00
Prediction: Naoya Honda vs Evan Bynoe
Team pages: Naoya Honda · Evan Bynoe
Prediction summary
Winner
Naoya Honda
Evan Bynoe
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Naoya Honda
8-2 (W-L)
Evan Bynoe
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Naoya Honda 1531 · Evan Bynoe 1567
| Naoya Honda | Evan Bynoe | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Naoya Honda | Evan Bynoe | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-11 | 12-9.9 |
| Aces | 5.5 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 75.6% | 67.1% |
| Break % | 42.8% | 43.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Naoya Honda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | William Jansen M25 Champaign |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 24/07 | Nikita Filin M25 Champaign |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/07 | Vignesh Gogineni M25 Champaign |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/07 | Jack Satterfield M25 Champaign |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 09/07 | Naoki Nakagawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 08/07 | Kazushi Idogaki M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/07 | Sora Fukuda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 19/06 | Hunter Heck M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Takuya Kumasaka M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 17/06 | Azuma Visaya M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Evan Bynoe
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Mitchell Sheldon M25 Champaign |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 24/07 | Eli Stephenson M25 Champaign |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 23/07 | Yassine Dlimi M25 Champaign |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 21/07 | Oliver Bonding M25 Champaign |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 17/07 | Mees Rottgering M25 Louisville |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Dylan Long M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 14/07 | Eli Stephenson M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/07 | Matthew Forbes M25 Dallas |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 07/07 | Marko Mesarovic M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/06 | Oliver Ojakaar M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Naoya Honda vs Evan Bynoe?
Our model gives 58% to Naoya Honda, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.