Tennis · M25 Champaign · 23/07, 17:00
Prediction: Karim Bennani vs Maximillian Mroz
Prediction summary
Winner
Karim Bennani
Maximillian Mroz
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Karim Bennani
6-4 (W-L)
Maximillian Mroz
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Karim Bennani 1552 · Maximillian Mroz 1491
| Karim Bennani | Maximillian Mroz | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 90% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Karim Bennani (rating 1552 vs 1491).
- Karim Bennani is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Karim Bennani | Maximillian Mroz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (9) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-8.5 | 9.6-11.1 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 65.4% | 67.1% |
| Break % | 53.3% | 28% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Karim Bennani
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Jerry Roddick M25 Champaign |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 03/07 | Massimo Giunta M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
| 02/07 | Denis Klok M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Madhwin Kamath M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/06 | Yassine Dlimi M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 27/06 | Sean Cuenin M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/06 | Johan Nikles M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/06 | Amine Jamji M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/06 | Noah Perfetti M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/06 | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
Maximillian Mroz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Justin Roberts M25 Champaign |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 21/07 | Simon Caldwell M25 Champaign |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/06 | Matthew Dubas UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Sawyer Severance UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/06 | Cooper Johnson UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 16/06 | Noah McDonald UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/06 | Sebastian Sec UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 12/09 | Erik Schiessl UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Benjamin Saltman UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 10/09 | Azariah Rusher UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Karim Bennani vs Maximillian Mroz?
Our model gives 76% to Karim Bennani, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.