Tennis · W100 Gran Canaria · 26/07, 13:30

Prediction: Noemi Maines vs Demi Tran

Prediction summary
Winner
65% 35%
Noemi Maines Demi Tran
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Noemi Maines 4-6 (W-L)
LLLLWLWWWL
Demi Tran 3-7 (W-L)
WLLLWWLLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Noemi Maines 1493 · Demi Tran 1462
Noemi MainesDemi Tran
Our model54%46%
Market73%27%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Noemi Maines makes many double faults (6.7/match).
  • Note: Demi Tran makes many double faults (5/match).

Statistics

Noemi MainesDemi Tran
Win %50%40%
Win % · Clay 25% (4) 50% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.20.9-1.3
Games (G-P)9.4-11.38.9-9.4
Aces0.90.2
Double faults6.75
1st serve %55%56.7%
Break %47.7%36.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Noemi Maines

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/07 Kristina Novak
W15 Gran Canaria
1-2 15-19 L
24/07 Anna Shkutova
W15 Gran Canaria
2-0 13-7 W
23/07 Karolina Kozakova
W15 Gran Canaria
2-0 14-10 W
22/07 Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals
W15 Gran Canaria
2-1 18-15 W
09/07 Victoria Allen
W35 Don Benito
0-2 2-12 L
08/07 Ashleigh Harvey
W35 Don Benito
2-0 13-8 W
24/06 Noemi Basiletti
W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
22/06 Laetitia Pulchartova
W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay
2-1 9-6 W
10/06 Lorena Solar Donoso
W35 Casablanca · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
05/06 Nina Vargova
W15 Casablanca · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L

Demi Tran

WLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/07 Anna Shkutova
W15 Gran Canaria
0-2 5-12 L
15/07 Zoziya Kardava
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
1-2 11-14 L
08/07 Valentina Ryser
W35 Don Benito
0-2 6-12 L
24/05 Irem Kurt
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
23/05 Ksenia Smirnova
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
22/05 Satima Toregen
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
20/05 Vlada Guryleva
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-1 15-7 W
05/05 Edie Griffiths
W35 Nottingham
0-2 5-12 L
16/04 Laura Pigossi
W50 Bujumbura · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
14/04 Maddalena Giordano
W50 Bujumbura · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Noemi Maines vs Demi Tran?

Our model gives 65% to Noemi Maines, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.