Tennis · W100 Gran Canaria · 26/07, 13:30

Prediction: Maria Oliver Sanchez vs Emma Lene

Prediction summary
Winner
25% 75%
Maria Oliver Sanchez Emma Lene
Estimated games
19
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Oliver Sanchez 5-5 (W-L)
LWWWLWWLLL
Emma Lene 9-1 (W-L)
WLWWWWWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Maria Oliver Sanchez 1481 · Emma Lene 1608
Maria Oliver SanchezEmma Lene
Our model32%68%
Market19%81%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Emma Lene (rating 1481 vs 1608).
  • Emma Lene is in better form: 80% recent wins.

Statistics

Maria Oliver SanchezEmma Lene
Win %40%80%
Win % · Hard 50% (8)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.21.7-0.5
Games (G-P)8.4-9.211.8-7.5
Aces2.61.1
Double faults2.51.8
1st serve %59%63.2%
Break %54.3%66.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 19

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Maria Oliver Sanchez

WLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/07 Victoria Allen
W35 Don Benito
0-2 3-12 L
01/07 Alba Maria Coromina Boluda
W15 Getxo · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
10/06 Ariana Arseneault
W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
09/06 Indianna Spink
W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard
1-2 9-18 L
08/06 Mia Chudejova
W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard
2-0 12-0 W
06/06 Berta Passola
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
05/06 Vlada Mincheva
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 13-7 W
04/06 Margaux Komano
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
03/06 Nao Phang Ziyi
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
30/05 Andre Lukosiute
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L

Emma Lene

WLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
24/07 Shannon Lam
W15 Gran Canaria
1-0 7-5 W
23/07 Liv Boulard
W15 Gran Canaria
2-0 12-5 W
22/07 Sofia Montesinos Vilanova
W15 Gran Canaria
2-0 12-2 W
16/07 Astrid Lew Yan Foon
W35 Torino
1-2 12-14 L
15/07 Anastasia Bertacchi
W35 Torino
2-0 12-1 W
14/07 Ela Nala Milic
W35 Torino
2-0 12-5 W
13/06 Aran Teixido Garcia
W35 Casablanca · ~Clay
1-2 9-13 L
12/06 Ekaterina Perelygina
W35 Casablanca · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
11/06 Verena Meliss
W35 Casablanca · ~Clay
2-1 16-13 W
10/06 Sarah Iliev
W35 Casablanca · ~Clay
2-0 14-10 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Maria Oliver Sanchez vs Emma Lene?

Our model gives 75% to Emma Lene, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.