Tennis · W100 Gran Canaria · 26/07, 10:30
Prediction: Eleonora Alvisi vs Verena Meliss
Prediction summary
Winner
Eleonora Alvisi
Verena Meliss
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Eleonora Alvisi
3-7 (W-L)
Verena Meliss
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Eleonora Alvisi
1–1
Verena Meliss
(2 last)
- 23 Mar1-2 16-14L
- 17 Mar2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Eleonora Alvisi 1427 · Verena Meliss 1529
| Eleonora Alvisi | Verena Meliss | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Verena Meliss (rating 1427 vs 1529).
- Verena Meliss is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Eleonora Alvisi makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Eleonora Alvisi | Verena Meliss | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 25% (8) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.7 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.5-12.4 | 9.9-9.6 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 5.5 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 57.7% | 56.3% |
| Break % | 36.3% | 34.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
H2H · Eleonora Alvisi 1 – 1 Verena Meliss (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Eleonora Alvisi 1–1 Verena Meliss
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/03/22 ITF W15 Marrakech | 1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 17/03/22 ITF W15 Marrakech | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Eleonora Alvisi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Shannon Lam W15 Gran Canaria |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 14/07 | Beatrice Ricci W35 Torino |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Miriana Tona W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Yiming Dang WTA Foggia · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 22/05 | Francesca Gandolfi W15 Grado · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Aurora Nosei W15 Grado · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 20/05 | Ania Hertel W15 Grado · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-2 | W |
| 05/05 | Marcella Dessolis W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/04 | Arina Gabriela Vasilescu W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 07/04 | Briana Szabo W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Verena Meliss
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Tatiana Pieri W75 Cordenons |
0-2 | 1-8 | L |
| 20/07 | Monique Barry W75 Cordenons |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 14/06 | Mia Ristic WTA Brescia · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Emma Lene W35 Casablanca · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 10/06 | Lina Bezza W35 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 21/05 | Denisa Zoldakova W15 Grado · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Anais Gabriel W15 Grado · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/05 | Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/05 | Camilla Gennaro W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/05 | Beatrise Zeltina W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Eleonora Alvisi vs Verena Meliss?
Our model gives 64% to Verena Meliss, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.