Tennis · WTA Memphis · 26/07, 19:30
Prediction: Kristina Liutova vs Maria Kozyreva
Prediction summary
Winner
Kristina Liutova
Maria Kozyreva
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Kristina Liutova
8-2 (W-L)
Maria Kozyreva
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kristina Liutova 1592 · Maria Kozyreva 1425
| Kristina Liutova | Maria Kozyreva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 72% | 28% |
| Market | 85% | 15% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kristina Liutova (rating 1592 vs 1425).
- Kristina Liutova is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Kristina Liutova | Maria Kozyreva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 10% |
| Win % · Hard | 88% (8) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.5 | 0.4-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-7.7 | 7.9-12.6 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 3 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 64.5% | 48.9% |
| Break % | 60.9% | 37.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kristina Liutova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Lucrezia Stefanini W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Sofia Johnson W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 01/07 | Malaika Rapolu W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/06 | Reese Brantmeier W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/06 | Whitney Osuigwe W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/06 | Eryn Cayetano W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 04/06 | Carolyn Ansari W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/06 | Clervie Ngounoue W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/05 | Julia Riera W100 Indian Harbour Beach · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 09/05 | Jazmin Ortenzi W100 Indian Harbour Beach · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Maria Kozyreva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Eri Hozumi WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/07 | Alevtina Ibragimova WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Clervie Ngounoue WTA Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/06 | Nika Radisic WTA Foggia · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/04 | Julie Belgraver WTA Rouen · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/11 | Vivian Wolff WTA Austin · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 28/10 | Elizabeth Mandlik ITF W100 Irapuato · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 21/10 | Louisa Chirico ITF W100 Tyler · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 15/10 | Emerson Jones ITF W100 Macon · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Ava Markham ITF W100 Edmond |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kristina Liutova vs Maria Kozyreva?
Our model gives 80% to Kristina Liutova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.