Tennis · M25 Aldershot · 26/07, 11:00
Prediction: Henry Jefferson vs Louis Bowden
Prediction summary
Winner
Henry Jefferson
Louis Bowden
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Henry Jefferson
4-6 (W-L)
Louis Bowden
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Henry Jefferson 1521 · Louis Bowden 1581
| Henry Jefferson | Louis Bowden | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Louis Bowden (rating 1521 vs 1581).
- Note: Henry Jefferson makes many double faults (4.4/match).
- Note: Louis Bowden makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Henry Jefferson | Louis Bowden | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-10.6 | 12.2-8.6 |
| Aces | 5.8 | 2 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 74.3% | 69.9% |
| Break % | 53.5% | 56.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Henry Jefferson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Charlie Robertson M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/07 | Arjun Mehrotra M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/07 | Andreas Timini M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 04/07 | Khololwam Montsi M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 03/07 | Rocco Piatti M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Ty Host M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 01/07 | Zsombor Velcz M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Jordan Hasson M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-8 | W |
| 13/06 | Alastair Gray Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Timofei Derepasko M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Louis Bowden
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Luc Koenig UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 06/09 | Devin Badenhorst UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/09 | Daniil Kakhniuk UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/09 | Drew Hedgecoe UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 03/09 | Mason Vaughan UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 01/09 | Francisco Salmain UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Luc Koenig UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 23/08 | Arman Zamani UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 21/08 | Thomas Cardona Herrera UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/08 | Nathan Chavez UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Henry Jefferson vs Louis Bowden?
Our model gives 58% to Henry Jefferson, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.