Tennis · M25 Aldershot · 26/07, 12:30
Prediction: Charlie Swaine vs William Mclennaghan
Prediction summary
Winner
Charlie Swaine
William Mclennaghan
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Charlie Swaine
5-5 (W-L)
William Mclennaghan
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Charlie Swaine 1496 · William Mclennaghan 1510
| Charlie Swaine | William Mclennaghan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: William Mclennaghan makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Charlie Swaine | William Mclennaghan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-10.8 | 10.2-8.5 |
| Aces | – | 2 |
| Double faults | – | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | – | 65.8% |
| Break % | – | 41.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Charlie Swaine
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Peter Sallay UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 26/06 | Botond Kisantal UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/06 | Adam Jilly UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Martyn Pawelski UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 21/06 | Nikola Keremedchiev UTR Pro Skopje · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 20/06 | Azariah Rusher UTR Pro Skopje · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/06 | Baltazar Wiger Nordas UTR Pro Skopje · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Aleksa Pisaric UTR Pro Skopje · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Filippo Alberti UTR Pro Skopje · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/06 | Kotaro Mochizuki UTR Pro Skopje · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
William Mclennaghan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05 | Robert Cowley UTR Pro Stirling · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 16/05 | Thomas Pudney UTR Pro Stirling · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/05 | Conor Flynn UTR Pro Stirling · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 13/05 | Axel Frechet UTR Pro Stirling · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 12/05 | Cian McDonnell UTR Pro Stirling · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Tyler Stice UTR Pro Stirling · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 06/05 | Miles Jones M25 Nottingham |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Alex Jones M25 Nottingham |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/05 | Charlie Pycroft M25 Nottingham Qual |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/04 | Matthew Carroll M25 Nottingham |
1-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Charlie Swaine vs William Mclennaghan?
Our model gives 59% to Charlie Swaine, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.