Tennis · W50 Knokke-Heist · 26/07, 13:00

Prediction: Julie Myatovic vs Gaia Maduzzi

Prediction summary
Winner
25% 75%
Julie Myatovic Gaia Maduzzi
Estimated games
18.7
Recent form · 10 last
Julie Myatovic 2-8 (W-L)
LWLLLLWLLL
Gaia Maduzzi 5-5 (W-L)
WWLWLLWWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Julie Myatovic 1421 · Gaia Maduzzi 1489
Julie MyatovicGaia Maduzzi
Our model40%60%
Market12%88%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gaia Maduzzi (rating 1421 vs 1489).
  • Gaia Maduzzi is in better form: 50% recent wins.
  • Note: Julie Myatovic makes many double faults (4.8/match).

Statistics

Julie MyatovicGaia Maduzzi
Win %20%50%
Win % · Hard 25% (8)
Sets (G-P)0.6-1.71-1
Games (G-P)6.3-11.28.4-8
Aces0.61.2
Double faults4.81.8
1st serve %54.5%57.2%
Break %45.5%53%
Estimated total games (ours) 18.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Julie Myatovic

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/07 Hena Cehajic
W15 Nogent-sur-Marne
0-2 6-12 L
17/06 Margaux Maquet
W15 Dinard · ~Clay
0-2 1-12 L
12/06 Victoria Milovanova
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
10/06 Ava Schueller
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 13-10 W
03/06 Vlada Mincheva
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
26/05 Mariia Lazarenko
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
21/04 Sarah Victoria Majesty Nita
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 1-8 L
15/04 Verena Meliss
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 10-16 L
14/04 Nika Hurkacz
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 10-7 W
07/04 Valentina Losciale
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 9-11 L

Gaia Maduzzi

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/07 Mia Ristic
W75 Cordenons
0-2 5-12 L
16/07 Lia Karatancheva
W35 Torino
0-2 5-12 L
15/07 Jessica Bertoldo
W35 Torino
2-0 12-5 W
14/07 Galatea Ferro
W35 Torino
2-0 12-4 W
07/07 Beatrice Ricci
W35 Buzau
0-2 10-14 L
20/05 Tilwith Di Girolami
W50 Portoroz · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
19/05 Emily Webley-Smith
W50 Portoroz · ~Clay
2-0 12-0 W
25/04 Tara Wuerth
W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
24/04 Vittoria Paganetti
W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
23/04 Luna Vujovic
W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Julie Myatovic vs Gaia Maduzzi?

Our model gives 75% to Gaia Maduzzi, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.