Tennis · W50 Knokke-Heist · 26/07, 11:30
Prediction: Lena Thomas Iglesias vs Loes Ebeling Koning
Prediction summary
Winner
Lena Thomas Iglesias
Loes Ebeling Koning
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Lena Thomas Iglesias
6-4 (W-L)
Loes Ebeling Koning
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lena Thomas Iglesias 1518 · Loes Ebeling Koning 1571
| Lena Thomas Iglesias | Loes Ebeling Koning | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 11% | 89% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Loes Ebeling Koning (rating 1518 vs 1571).
Statistics
| Lena Thomas Iglesias | Loes Ebeling Koning | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.2-7.5 | 14.2-10.4 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 56.4% | 69.1% |
| Break % | 46.1% | 56.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lena Thomas Iglesias
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Jade Bornay W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
1-2 | 8-11 | L |
| 18/06 | Margaux Maquet W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Thalya Le Runigo W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/06 | Cecilie Agerbek Fridthjof W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/06 | Emira Diabate W35 Nice |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Aisling O'Connor W35 Nice |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/05 | Mariia Lazarenko W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Viola Bedini W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/05 | Emma Fantusis W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/05 | Nao Phang Ziyi W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 9-6 | W |
Loes Ebeling Koning
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Dayeon Back W50 Horb |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Samira De Stefano W50 Horb |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/07 | Lucie Nguyen Tan W50 Horb |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 21/07 | Karla Bartel W50 Horb |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 20/07 | Anna Burchak W50 Horb |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/07 | Gina Feistel W75 The Hague |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 08/07 | Britt Du Pree W75 The Hague |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 06/07 | Sarah Iliev W75 The Hague |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 05/07 | Polina Kuharenko W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/06 | Gergana Topalova W35 Ystad · ~Clay |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lena Thomas Iglesias vs Loes Ebeling Koning?
Our model gives 75% to Loes Ebeling Koning, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.