Tennis · W50 Knokke-Heist · 26/07, 10:00
Prediction: Mara Guth vs Merel Hoedt
Prediction summary
Winner
Mara Guth
Merel Hoedt
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Mara Guth
6-4 (W-L)
Merel Hoedt
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mara Guth 1511 · Merel Hoedt 1507
| Mara Guth | Merel Hoedt | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Mara Guth makes many double faults (7.3/match).
- Note: Merel Hoedt makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Mara Guth | Merel Hoedt | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-10.3 | 11.2-10.9 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 1 |
| Double faults | 7.3 | 5.7 |
| 1st serve % | 57.4% | 58.6% |
| Break % | 51.2% | 61.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mara Guth
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Nellie Taraba Wallberg W35 Gentofte |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Carolina Kuhl W35 Gentofte |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/07 | Isabel Skoog W50 Darmstadt |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 06/07 | Laura Hietaranta W100 Aschaffenburg |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 26/06 | Valentina Ivanov W15 Kamen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 25/06 | Daniela Ciobanu W15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Isabella Angelina Abendroth W15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/06 | Julia Stusek W35 Klosters · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Nicole Gadient W35 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 16/06 | Anais Gabriel W35 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Merel Hoedt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Johanne C Svendsen W35 Gentofte |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 21/07 | Lamis Alhussein Abdel Aziz W35 Gentofte |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/07 | Matylda Burylo W35 Gentofte |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/07 | Ema Kovacevic W35 Gentofte |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/07 | Marie Vogt W75 The Hague |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Dune Vaissaud W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 26/06 | Charlotte Narti W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Jade Groen W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/06 | Estella Jaeger W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 16/06 | Adrienn Nagy W35 Klosters · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mara Guth vs Merel Hoedt?
Our model gives 61% to Mara Guth, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.