Tennis · W50 Knokke-Heist · 26/07, 16:00
Prediction: Marie Mattel vs Valeriya Strakhova
Prediction summary
Winner
Marie Mattel
Valeriya Strakhova
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Marie Mattel
5-5 (W-L)
Valeriya Strakhova
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marie Mattel 1515 · Valeriya Strakhova 1467
| Marie Mattel | Valeriya Strakhova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marie Mattel (rating 1515 vs 1467).
Statistics
| Marie Mattel | Valeriya Strakhova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.6-7.7 | 10.3-10.5 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 66.8% | 60.7% |
| Break % | 48.6% | 47.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marie Mattel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Kateryna Diatlova W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Hena Cehajic W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/04 | Amandine Monnot W75 Calvi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/04 | Jana Otzipka W75 Calvi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/03 | Kira Pavlova W50 Nantes · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/03 | Alicia Dudeney W15 Hagetmau · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/03 | Tegan Bush W15 Hagetmau · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-2 | W |
| 03/03 | Astrid Cirotte W15 Hagetmau · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/03 | Julie Myatovic W15 Hagetmau · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 01/03 | Sena Yoon W15 Hagetmau · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Valeriya Strakhova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Chloe Paquet WTA Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 06/07 | Miriam Bulgaru WTA Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Alena Kovackova W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Elena Korokozidi W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 08/06 | Amelie Justine Hejtmanek W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/06 | Olivia Gram W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/06 | Mina Hodzic W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 31/05 | Carlotta Bassotti W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/05 | Elena Milovanovic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Nadja Mladenovic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marie Mattel vs Valeriya Strakhova?
Our model gives 52% to Valeriya Strakhova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.