Tennis · Challenger Liberec · 26/07, 10:30

Prediction: Peter Fajta vs Pablo Martinez Gomez

Prediction summary
Winner
45% 55%
Peter Fajta Pablo Martinez Gomez
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Peter Fajta 7-3 (W-L)
WWLWWWLWWL
Pablo Martinez Gomez 6-4 (W-L)
WLWLLWWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Peter Fajta 1521 · Pablo Martinez Gomez 1521
Peter FajtaPablo Martinez Gomez
Our model50%50%
Market41%59%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Peter FajtaPablo Martinez Gomez
Win %60%60%
Win % · Clay 60% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.91.4-1
Games (G-P)11.5-10.911.7-10.2
Aces4.12.2
Double faults31.7
1st serve %69.1%66.2%
Break %39.3%60%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Peter Fajta

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/07 Jonas Kucera
M15 Umag · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
19/06 Aleksandr Braynin
M15 Gyula · ~Clay
1-2 13-15 L
18/06 Gabor Hornung
M15 Gyula · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
17/06 Ben Stecker
M15 Gyula · ~Clay
2-1 18-14 W
05/06 Yannik Kelm
M15 Szentendre · ~Clay
1-2 12-16 L
04/06 Andrea De Marchi
M15 Szentendre · ~Clay
2-0 13-10 W
03/06 Timo Rosenkranz Koenig
M15 Szentendre · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
29/05 Dali Blanch
Challenger Kosice · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
28/05 Franco Roncadelli
Challenger Kosice · Clay
2-0 13-7 W
26/05 Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
Challenger Kosice · Clay
2-0 13-8 W

Pablo Martinez Gomez

WWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/07 Mario Arce Fernandez
M25 Denia
1-2 13-15 L
18/07 Eric Vanshelboim
M25 Gandia
0-2 6-12 L
17/07 Sergi Perez Contri
M25 Gandia
2-0 12-6 W
16/07 Ignacio Parisca Romera
M25 Gandia
2-0 12-5 W
14/07 Kevin Edengren
M25 Gandia
2-1 15-10 W
24/06 Tiago Torres
M25 Porto
1-2 14-14 L
20/06 Tiago Torres
M25 Lourinha · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
19/06 Oscar Andres Martinez de Freitas
M25 Lourinha · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
18/06 Ilya Ivashka
M25 Lourinha · ~Hard
2-1 15-13 W
17/06 Kevin Edengren
M25 Lourinha · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Peter Fajta vs Pablo Martinez Gomez?

Our model gives 55% to Pablo Martinez Gomez, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.