Tennis · WTA Memphis · 26/07, 18:00

Prediction: Storm Hunter vs Sofia Johnson

Prediction summary
Winner
55% 45%
Storm Hunter Sofia Johnson
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Storm Hunter 4-6 (W-L)
LLWLWLLLWW
Sofia Johnson 7-3 (W-L)
LWWWWLWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Storm Hunter 1481 · Sofia Johnson 1539
Storm HunterSofia Johnson
Our model42%58%
Market66%34%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sofia Johnson (rating 1481 vs 1539).
  • Storm Hunter dominates on serve: 7.1 aces and 44.8% break avg.
  • Note: Storm Hunter makes many double faults (5/match).

Statistics

Storm HunterSofia Johnson
Win %40%60%
Win % · Hard 50% (2) 80% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.3-1.31.2-0.9
Games (G-P)12.2-13.89.5-7.7
Aces7.11.1
Double faults52.2
1st serve %63.5%70%
Break %44.8%39.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Storm Hunter

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
24/06 Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Wimbledon Women · Grass
1-2 13-18 L
23/06 Sofia Costoulas
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-0 13-9 W
07/06 Antonia Ruzic
WTA Queens · Grass
1-2 14-17 L
07/06 Aliaksandra Sasnovich
WTA Queens · Grass
2-1 19-19 W
20/05 Xiyu Wang
French Open Women · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
19/05 Tahlia Kokkinis
French Open Women · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
06/05 Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales
WTA Istanbul · Hard
1-2 10-18 L
04/05 Polina Iatcenko
WTA Istanbul · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
27/04 Ashlyn Krueger
WTA La Bisbal D'Emporda · Clay
1-2 10-18 L
21/04 Lucie Havlickova
WTA Oeiras · Clay
1-2 12-17 L

Sofia Johnson

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/07 Karman Kaur Thandi
WTA Memphis · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
22/07 Caroline Dolehide
W100 Evansville
0-2 7-12 L
22/07 Hanna Chang
W100 Evansville
1-0 6-1 W
21/07 Briley Rhoden
W100 Evansville
2-0 12-2 W
07/07 Haruka Kaji
W50 Columbus
0-2 6-13 L
02/07 Kristina Liutova
W100 Cary · ~Hard
1-2 10-15 L
01/07 Anna Rogers
W100 Cary · ~Hard
2-1 13-12 W
30/06 Alana Smith
W100 Cary · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
29/06 Claire An
W100 Cary · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
21/06 Emiliana Arango
WTA Eastbourne · Grass
0-2 5-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Storm Hunter vs Sofia Johnson?

Our model gives 55% to Storm Hunter, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.