Tennis · WTA Memphis · 26/07, 18:00
Prediction: Yexin Ma vs Aoi Ito
Prediction summary
Winner
Yexin Ma
Aoi Ito
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Yexin Ma
5-5 (W-L)
Aoi Ito
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Yexin Ma
0–2
Aoi Ito
(2 last)
- 28 Jun0-2 8-13L
- 02 May0-2 3-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yexin Ma 1523 · Aoi Ito 1467
| Yexin Ma | Aoi Ito | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yexin Ma (rating 1523 vs 1467).
- Head-to-head: Yexin Ma 0–2 Aoi Ito (2).
- Note: Aoi Ito makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Yexin Ma | Aoi Ito | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-10.1 | 9.7-11.9 |
| Aces | 2 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 57.4% | 54.9% |
| Break % | 45.2% | 49.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
H2H · Yexin Ma 0 – 2 Aoi Ito (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yexin Ma 0–2 Aoi Ito
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06/23 ITF W25 Hong Kong | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/05/23 ITF W80 Gifu | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yexin Ma
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Hong Yi Cody Wong W100 Evansville |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 17/07 | Dana Guzman W35 Dallas |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Rachel Gailis W35 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Theadora Rabman W35 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/07 | Francoise Abanda W50 Columbus |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 05/07 | Lucrezia Stefanini W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Mia Slama W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Momoko Kobori W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 30/06 | Reese Brantmeier W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Erika Andreeva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Aoi Ito
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Astra Sharma WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 18/07 | Gabriela Knutson WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Alina Korneeva WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Yasmine Mansouri WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/06 | Dayana Yastremska Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 20/06 | Diane Parry WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Petra Marcinko WTA Berlin · Grass |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 07/06 | Antonia Ruzic WTA Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew WTA Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/05 | Amelia Rajecki WTA Birmingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yexin Ma vs Aoi Ito?
Our model gives 51% to Aoi Ito, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.