Tennis · W35 Santa Fe · 23/07, 19:00
Prediction: Malaika Rapolu vs Carolina Gomez
Prediction summary
Winner
Malaika Rapolu
Carolina Gomez
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Malaika Rapolu
7-3 (W-L)
Carolina Gomez
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Malaika Rapolu 1566 · Carolina Gomez 1565
| Malaika Rapolu | Carolina Gomez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Carolina Gomez makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Malaika Rapolu | Carolina Gomez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-7.9 | 12-7.6 |
| Aces | 2 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 71.6% | 62.1% |
| Break % | 59% | 52.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Malaika Rapolu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Lexington Reed W35 Santa Fe |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 17/07 | Lexington Reed W35 Dallas |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 16/07 | Ankita Raina W35 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Anita Sahdiieva W35 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/07 | Sara Daavettila W50 Columbus |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 09/07 | Miho Kuramochi W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/07 | Ayana Akli W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Kristina Liutova W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Mary Lewis W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/06 | Jasmine Conway W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Carolina Gomez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Annika Penickova W35 Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/07 | Madison Rose W35 Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/06 | Madison Brengle W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-11 | L |
| 10/06 | Dasha Ivanova W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 09/06 | Maria Kononova W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/11 | Alina Shcherbinina UTR Pro Fayetteville Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 08/11 | Alyson Shannon UTR Pro Fayetteville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/11 | Sara Borkop UTR Pro Fayetteville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 04/11 | Anet A Koskel UTR Pro Fayetteville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/11 | Elizabeth Fauchet UTR Pro Fayetteville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Malaika Rapolu vs Carolina Gomez?
Our model gives 71% to Malaika Rapolu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.