Tennis · W35 Santa Fe · 23/07, 19:00
Prediction: Kate Fakih vs Tatum Evans
Prediction summary
Winner
Kate Fakih
Tatum Evans
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Kate Fakih
6-4 (W-L)
Tatum Evans
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kate Fakih 1505 · Tatum Evans 1559
| Kate Fakih | Tatum Evans | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tatum Evans (rating 1505 vs 1559).
- Note: Kate Fakih makes many double faults (4/match).
- Note: Tatum Evans makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Kate Fakih | Tatum Evans | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-9.1 | 12.6-9.8 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 4 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 63.9% | 66.5% |
| Break % | 51.6% | 52.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kate Fakih
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Maria Kononova W35 Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 10/07 | Jo Yee Chan W15 Rancho Santa Fe |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 08/07 | Sophia Webster W15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/07 | Alina Shcherbinina W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/07 | Annabelle Xu W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/07 | Maria Aytoyan W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 02/07 | Kelly Keller W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Brandelyn Fulgenzi W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Stefania Rogozinska-Dzik W15 Irvine · ~Hard |
0-1 | 4-6 | L |
| 04/06 | Ava Hrastar W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Tatum Evans
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Carmen Andreea Herea W35 Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/07 | Thara Gowda W50 Columbus |
0-2 | 5-10 | L |
| 06/07 | Briley Rhoden W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 04/07 | Ena Koike W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Madison Brengle W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 01/07 | Carolyn Ansari W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Olivia Lincer W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 29/06 | Ariana Arseneault W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 25/06 | Ayana Akli W35 Rome |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 24/06 | Hiroko Kuwata W35 Rome |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kate Fakih vs Tatum Evans?
Our model gives 64% to Tatum Evans, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.