Tennis · M15 Huamantla · 23/07, 17:30
Prediction: Gray Voelzke vs Preston Brown
Prediction summary
Winner
Gray Voelzke
Preston Brown
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Gray Voelzke
2-8 (W-L)
Preston Brown
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gray Voelzke 1429 · Preston Brown 1505
| Gray Voelzke | Preston Brown | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Preston Brown (rating 1429 vs 1505).
- Preston Brown is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Gray Voelzke makes many double faults (6.1/match).
Statistics
| Gray Voelzke | Preston Brown | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 22% (9) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.7 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-13.2 | 11.3-10.4 |
| Aces | 5.3 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 6.1 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 71.1% | 70.9% |
| Break % | 32.1% | 48.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gray Voelzke
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Eugenio Gonzalez Fitzmaurice M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Kris Van Wyk M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 02/06 | Yuya Hirose M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 24/05 | Stefan Vujic Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/05 | Jake Dembo M15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/05 | Udit Kamboj M15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Edison Ambarzumjan M15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 05/05 | Aditya Vishal Balsekar Challenger Brazzaville · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Alec Beckley M15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 21/04 | Pavlos Christoforakis M15 Pretoria · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-8 | L |
Preston Brown
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Lance A L Castelan M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 16/07 | Orel Kimhi M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Giovanni Ciocca M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 09/07 | Ofek Shimanov M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 07/07 | Marc Van Der Merwe M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/07 | Devin Badenhorst M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Willem De Waal M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 31/05 | Keshav Chopra Challenger Centurion Qual · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 26/05 | Eliakim Coulibaly Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Ofek Shimanov Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gray Voelzke vs Preston Brown?
Our model gives 67% to Preston Brown, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.