Tennis · M15 Huamantla · 29/07, 17:00

Prediction: Matteo Covato vs Joshua Peck

Team pages: Matteo Covato · Joshua Peck

Prediction summary
Winner
27% 73%
Matteo Covato Joshua Peck
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Matteo Covato 2-8 (W-L)
WLLWLLLLLL
Joshua Peck 4-6 (W-L)
LWLWLWWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Matteo Covato 1394 · Joshua Peck 1473
Matteo CovatoJoshua Peck
Our model39%61%
Market17%83%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Joshua Peck (rating 1394 vs 1473).

Statistics

Matteo CovatoJoshua Peck
Win %10%30%
Win % · Hard 0% (3) 43% (7)
Sets (G-P)0.4-1.80.9-1.4
Games (G-P)7.1-12.19.6-10.6
Aces2.94.2
Double faults2.83.6
1st serve %56.6%69.9%
Break %24.4%37.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Matteo Covato

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/07 Oliver Sanders
M15 Huamantla · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
05/07 Jesse Delaney
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
0-2 4-12 L
01/07 Justin Schlageter
M25 Marburg · ~Clay
0-2 5-11 L
16/06 Noah Karma
M25 Klosters · ~Clay
1-2 11-15 L
09/06 Jan Kumstat
M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
03/06 Richard Antoni
M15 Rosbach · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
20/05 Dylan Salton
M15 Gaborone · ~Hard
1-2 16-14 L
13/05 Stefan Storch
M15 Gaborone · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
06/05 Ivan Marrero Curbelo
Challenger Brazzaville · Clay
0-2 2-12 L
05/05 Herbert Jody Maginley
Challenger Brazzaville · Clay
2-0 13-9 W

Joshua Peck

WWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/07 William Jansen
M25 Louisville
0-2 7-12 L
08/07 Cole Thurgur
M25 Laval
1-2 11-15 L
25/06 Jack Satterfield
M15 Claremont · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
24/06 Rishvanth Krishna
M15 Claremont · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
23/06 Noble Renfrow
M15 Claremont · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
18/06 Tanishk Konduri
M15 Irvine · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
16/06 Evan Burnett
M15 Irvine · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
27/05 Iiro Vasa
M15 Lakewood · ~Hard
1-2 16-19 L
26/05 Karl Kazuma Lee
M15 Lakewood · ~Hard
1-2 10-10 L
07/05 Anton Matusevich
M25 Nottingham
0-2 6-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Matteo Covato vs Joshua Peck?

Our model gives 73% to Joshua Peck, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.