Tennis · W75 Vacaria · 23/07, 17:30
Prediction: Francesca Mattioli vs Lucciana Perez Alarcon
Prediction summary
Winner
Francesca Mattioli
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Francesca Mattioli
8-2 (W-L)
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francesca Mattioli 1566 · Lucciana Perez Alarcon 1539
| Francesca Mattioli | Lucciana Perez Alarcon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 13% | 87% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Francesca Mattioli makes many double faults (6.2/match).
Statistics
| Francesca Mattioli | Lucciana Perez Alarcon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-7.7 | 11.6-7.2 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 6.2 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 68.8% | 67.2% |
| Break % | 62.1% | 55.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francesca Mattioli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Alisa Danilova W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/07 | Marian Gomez Pezuela Cano W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/07 | Mia Popovic W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 16/07 | Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez W35 Sao Paulo |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 15/07 | Pietra Rivoli W35 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Agustina Soto Neira W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/07 | Gabriela Carvalho Bettoni W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 10/06 | Carolina Alves W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Noelia Zeballos W15 Brasilia |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 04/06 | Maria F Herazo Gonzalez W15 Brasilia |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Camila Romero W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/07 | Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez W35 Sao Paulo |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 17/07 | Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/07 | Carolina Xavier Laydner W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Chiara Di Genova W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/06 | Radka Zelnickova W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Beatrise Zeltina W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 19/06 | Nadia Podoroska W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 18/06 | Amy Stevens W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 17/06 | Isabelle Cherny W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francesca Mattioli vs Lucciana Perez Alarcon?
Our model gives 68% to Lucciana Perez Alarcon, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.