Tennis · W75 Vacaria · 26/07, 15:00
Prediction: Julia Riera vs Lucciana Perez Alarcon
Team pages: Julia Riera · Lucciana Perez Alarcon
Prediction summary
Winner
Julia Riera
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Julia Riera
6-4 (W-L)
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Julia Riera 1548 · Lucciana Perez Alarcon 1573
| Julia Riera | Lucciana Perez Alarcon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Julia Riera | Lucciana Perez Alarcon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.4-8 | 11.7-9.3 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 69.4% | 64.3% |
| Break % | 55.1% | 50.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Julia Riera
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Laura Pigossi W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/07 | Nauhany Vitoria Leme Da Silva W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/07 | Carolina Bohrer Martins W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/07 | Giovana Schincariol Delatorre Barbosa W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 17/07 | Nuria Brancaccio WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 16/07 | Danka Kovinic WTA Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 14/07 | Darja Semenistaja WTA Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 10/07 | Ekaterine Gorgodze W100 Aschaffenburg |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Martina Trevisan W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Emily Seibold W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Daria Egorova W75 Vacaria |
2-1 | 15-18 | W |
| 24/07 | Pietra Rivoli W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/07 | Francesca Mattioli W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/07 | Camila Romero W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/07 | Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez W35 Sao Paulo |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 17/07 | Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/07 | Carolina Xavier Laydner W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Chiara Di Genova W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/06 | Radka Zelnickova W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Beatrise Zeltina W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Julia Riera vs Lucciana Perez Alarcon?
Our model gives 63% to Julia Riera, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.