Tennis · W75 Vacaria · 23/07, 17:30
Prediction: Julia Riera vs Carolina Bohrer Martins
Prediction summary
Winner
Julia Riera
Carolina Bohrer Martins
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Julia Riera
4-6 (W-L)
Carolina Bohrer Martins
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Julia Riera 1539 · Carolina Bohrer Martins 1530
| Julia Riera | Carolina Bohrer Martins | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 93% | 7% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Julia Riera | Carolina Bohrer Martins | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.2-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-9.3 | 9.2-7.2 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 2 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 67.9% | 64.9% |
| Break % | 53.8% | 58.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Julia Riera
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Giovana Schincariol Delatorre Barbosa W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 17/07 | Nuria Brancaccio WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 16/07 | Danka Kovinic WTA Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 14/07 | Darja Semenistaja WTA Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 10/07 | Ekaterine Gorgodze W100 Aschaffenburg |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Martina Trevisan W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Emily Seibold W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 04/07 | Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Ekaterine Gorgodze W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 02/07 | Nuria Parrizas-Diaz W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Carolina Bohrer Martins
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Maria F Herazo Gonzalez W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/07 | Ana Sofia Sanchez W35 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Vitoria Zuccon W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/07 | Marjorie Souza W15 Rio Claro |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Romina Ccuno W15 Rio Claro |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/07 | Leticia Garcia Vidal W15 Rio Claro |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Alicia Herrero Linana W35 Rome |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Juliana Singeorzan UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/06 | Taylor Goetz UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 17/06 | Harper Stone UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Julia Riera vs Carolina Bohrer Martins?
Our model gives 74% to Julia Riera, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.